NPP Deputy National Communication Director Awal Mohammed says the party’s internal data points to potential gains in more than 50 constituencies held by the governing National Democratic Congress, even before the opposition party selects its parliamentary candidates. Speaking on Globe TV’s News Lens on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, Mohammed said Mussah Dankwah is under-reporting what he has seen on grounds. “Looking at the data and what he projected, from where I sit, I believe that he’s under-reporting what he has seen on the ground,” Mohammed said.
Mohammed argued that building support at the constituency level would be critical to the NPP’s efforts to return to government. According to him, strong parliamentary candidates could improve the party’s electoral prospects and strengthen support for its presidential candidate. “The vote emanates from the constituencies, and the more you get people elected from the constituencies, the more your chances of forming government and your flagbearer winning,” he said.
Drawing on the NPP’s experience in the 2008 elections, Mohammed argued that a popular presidential candidate alone was not enough to secure victory without a strong parliamentary showing.
He also accused the NDC government of failing to fulfil key campaign promises, which he claimed was contributing to a shift in voter sentiment towards the opposition.
Despite suggesting that the projections favoured the NPP, Mohammed stressed that his comments should not be interpreted as an endorsement of Dankwah’s work. He described himself as a longstanding critic and alleged that Dankwah’s work sought to shape public opinion rather than accurately reflect it.
Mohammed also outlined what he described as a revised approach to selecting the NPP’s parliamentary candidates, aimed at promoting fairness and reducing disputes. He said prospective aspirants were expected to declare their intention to contest between November 1 and 10, after which they would undergo screening and participate in a workshop before campaigning.
According to him, the approach was intended to address complaints about difficulties accessing nomination forms and ensure a level playing field.
“If you win, we all support you to win the seat. If you lose, you also have to support the one who has won,” he said.
Mohammed urged party members to unite behind successful candidates, arguing that a cohesive party would be better placed to persuade voters of its readiness to govern.
“When they see you united, it becomes easier for them to think that even in government, you will be united to be able to work well,” he said.
Global InfoAnalytics in its Multilevel Regression and Poststratification (MRP) model projected the opposition NPP to increase its representation to 100 seats from the 88 it won in 2024, representing a potential gain of 12 seats, where the governing NDC ould lose 29 parliamentary seats in the 2028 general elections. The model leaves 22 constituencies unresolved, with 20 classified as “not disclosed” and two as toss-ups.
The regional breakdown shows that the Eastern Region has the highest number of undisclosed seats, with five, followed by the Ashanti Region with four. The Western Region has three, while the Upper East has two.
Central, Greater Accra, Oti, Upper West, Western North and Bono each have one undisclosed seat.
The two toss-up constituencies are located in the Ashanti and Bono regions.
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